Round 7, 2026 Preview | Essendon vs Collingwood Anzac Day: Signs of Growth, Big Test Awaits at the MCG
- Don TheStat
- Apr 23
- 4 min read
Anzac Day football always means more.
For Essendon and Collingwood, it is one of the great annual fixtures of the AFL season. The crowd, the ceremony, the occasion and the pressure create a stage unlike any other home and away game.
For the Bombers in 2026, this year’s clash arrives at an interesting moment.
Essendon remains winless after six rounds, but last weekend’s narrow nine-point loss to Gold Coast felt different. It was not a performance of a side outclassed. It was the performance of a young team beginning to find belief, structure and resilience.
Now comes the biggest test yet.
Essendon Showed Progress Against Gold Coast
The scoreboard said defeat, but there were genuine positives for Essendon on the Gold Coast.
The Bombers lifted their pressure, competed strongly around the ball and stayed in the fight for four quarters. Several times it looked like the Suns were about to break the game open, yet Essendon kept responding.
That resilience has not always been present in recent seasons.
While there were moments of frustration, particularly in transition defence and costly centre bounce goals, there was also a clear sense that the side is starting to trust itself.
That matters.
Young AFL teams often lose before they learn how to win. Essendon’s recent performances suggest they may be entering that phase.
The Key Problem: Centre Bounce Damage
Although Essendon won the overall clearance count against Gold Coast, the Suns were far more damaging from those possessions.
That has become a critical storyline.
Winning clearances is one thing. Scoring from them, or preventing scores against, is another.
Gold Coast repeatedly struck at momentum moments:
When Essendon had built scoreboard pressure
Late in quarters
Immediately after Bombers goals
Early in the final term
Those moments can swing games.
Against experienced teams like Collingwood, limiting damage after centre bounces becomes even more important.
Essendon Midfield Mix Starting to Click
There are growing signs that Essendon’s midfield balance is improving.
The recent combination of:
Peter Wright taking primary ruck duties
Elijah Tsatas returning to the side
Andy McGrath spending more time on-ball
Darcy Parish building continuity
Jye Caldwell lifting form
has created a more rounded midfield setup.
Instead of multiple players swarming the same contest, Essendon appears to be showing more trust in spacing, defensive shape and outside support.
That has helped both clearance work and post-clearance movement.
For Bombers fans, that is one of the more encouraging developments of the past fortnight.
Half Forward Pressure Giving Essendon Identity
Modern AFL football is heavily influenced by the half-forward line.
Essendon’s recent setup in that area has shown promise, particularly through:
Sam Durham
Archer Day-Wicks
Sullivan Robey
Isaac Kako
Smaller forwards applying repeat heat
Durham continues to provide elite pressure and scoreboard impact, while Day-Wicks has added tackling, spoils and energy.
These roles matter because they help create:
Forward half turnovers
Territory control
Repeat inside 50s
Defensive accountability
Essendon is still a work in progress, but the shape of the side is beginning to make more sense.
Sullivan Robey Gives Bombers Fans Excitement
Essendon supporters are always searching for signs of future stars.
Sullivan Robey’s early appearances have provided exactly that.
Still raw and coming off an interrupted preparation, Robey has already shown:
Defensive intensity
Competitive instincts
Explosive moments
Goal sense
High upside athleticism
There is a long way to go, but there is obvious talent to work with.
For a club building toward the future, those glimpses matter.
Collingwood in 2026: Dangerous but Vulnerable
Collingwood enters Anzac Day at 3-3.
They remain difficult to beat because they turn games into arm wrestles, but some underlying numbers suggest they are not at their peak.
Compared to last season:
Scoring has dropped sharply
Inside 50 differential has worsened
Efficiency inside forward 50 has fallen
Clearance output remains modest
However, they still defend strongly and remain excellent structurally.
That is what makes Collingwood dangerous. Even when not dominant, they stay in games.
Nick Daicos Remains the Biggest Threat
Any Essendon vs Collingwood preview starts with one name.
Nick Daicos.
He is averaging elite numbers and was match-winning again last week against Carlton.
Stopping Daicos completely is unrealistic. Reducing his influence is the challenge.
Essendon’s likely approach should include:
Physical pressure at stoppages
Body contact whenever legal opportunities arise
Team defence on his spread patterns
Strong matchup minutes from Andy McGrath or similar runners
Forcing hurried ball use
In Collingwood losses this year, Daicos has still won plenty of the ball, but his efficiency has dropped.
That is the blueprint.
How Essendon Can Win on Anzac Day
If Essendon is to upset Collingwood, several things need to happen.
1. Win the Contest
Collingwood has been below average in contested possession differential this season.
Essendon must attack the source and make it a physical game.
2. Stay Patient with Ball Movement
The Magpies are strong interceptors, especially in defensive 50.
Bombers entries must be smarter than the long hopeful kicks seen at times against Gold Coast.
3. Keep Attacking if in Front
Recent Anzac Day meetings have seen Collingwood chase down leads.
Essendon cannot retreat into preservation mode if leading late.
4. Use Youth and Energy
Hot conditions, recent travel and younger legs could become factors.
Players like Sharp, Robey and Tsatas may have roles to play.
Selection Notes: Dyson Sharp In
Essendon has brought in Dyson Sharp for the big stage.
That inclusion adds excitement and future focus, though it also raises structural questions after the omission of Jade Gresham.
Sharp’s presence gives the Bombers fresh legs and another midfielder option, while Jaxon Prior’s inclusion helps cover the absence of Jordan Ridley.
Why This Feels Bigger Than the Ladder
Yes, four premiership points matter.
But for Essendon, this game is about more than that.
It is about showing:
The rebuild is progressing
Young players can handle major occasions
Structural changes are working
Belief is growing
A competitive loss would continue the recent trend.
A win would change the conversation entirely.
Final Word
Essendon heads into Anzac Day as the underdog.
That is fair.
Collingwood is more proven, more settled and more experienced.
But the Bombers are showing signs. Their midfield mix is improving, their pressure game is lifting and young talent is emerging.
Now they face the biggest test of all.
Anzac Day at the MCG.
The perfect stage to prove progress is real.
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